Chris RodriguezFITTED MODEL

RB · JAX · NFL

4.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

50%

Bust (0.6x)

6.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ PHI	15.3	65	18	1
2025 wk 16	vs PHI	13.9	63	6	1
2025 wk 14	@ MIN	5.2	52	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs DEN	10.1	41	0	0
2025 wk 11	@ MIA	9.5	79	6	1
2025 wk 10	vs DET	7.6	16	0	0
2025 wk 9	vs SEA	12.5	65	0	0
2025 wk 8	@ KC	0.2	2	0	0
2025 wk 7	@ DAL	7.2	12	0	0
2025 wk 5	@ LAC	0.7	7	0	0
2025 wk 4	@ ATL	5.9	59	0	0
2025 wk 3	vs LV	3.9	39	0	0
2024 wk 18	@ DAL	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 17	vs ATL	9.8	16	12	1
2024 wk 16	vs PHI	0.5	5	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts