Mitchell EvansFITTED MODEL

TE · CAR · NFL

2.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

51%

Bust (0.6x)

3.4

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ TB	1.5	0	5	1
2025 wk 17	vs SEA	1.6	1	5	1
2025 wk 16	vs TB	5.3	0	23	3
2025 wk 15	@ NO	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs LAR	5.0	0	20	3
2025 wk 12	@ SF	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 11	@ ATL	4.8	0	28	2
2025 wk 10	vs NO	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 7	@ NYJ	4.4	0	24	2
2025 wk 6	vs DAL	3.1	0	21	1
2025 wk 5	vs MIA	7.4	0	4	1
2025 wk 4	@ NE	11.3	0	23	3
2025 wk 3	vs ATL	1.9	0	9	1
2025 wk 2	@ ARI	1.9	0	9	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts