Chris ManhertzFITTED MODEL

TE · NYG · NFL

0.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

64%

Bust (0.6x)

1.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs DAL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 16	vs MIN	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 4	vs LAC	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 3	vs KC	1.7	7	1
2024 wk 18	@ PHI	2.6	16	1
2024 wk 17	vs IND	2.2	12	1
2024 wk 13	@ DAL	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 9	vs WAS	7.2	2	1
2024 wk 8	@ PIT	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 4	vs DAL	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 3	@ CLE	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 2	@ WAS	0.0	0	0
2023 wk 16	vs NE	0.0	0	0
2023 wk 13	@ HOU	0.0	0	0
2023 wk 10	@ BUF	1.6	6	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts