Drew LockFITTED MODEL

QB · SEA · NFL

0.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

42%

Boom (1.5x)

57%

Bust (0.6x)

7.8

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 14	@ ATL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 10	vs ARI	-0.4	0	-4
2025 wk 3	vs NO	0.5	15	-1
2024 wk 18	@ PHI	7.8	138	3
2024 wk 17	vs IND	34.4	309	0
2024 wk 16	@ ATL	6.5	210	1
2024 wk 14	vs NO	15.0	227	59
2024 wk 13	@ DAL	14.8	178	57
2024 wk 12	vs TB	0.1	3	0
2024 wk 7	vs PHI	1.5	6	13
2023 wk 15	vs PHI	12.1	208	-2
2023 wk 14	@ SF	15.3	269	5
2023 wk 11	@ LAR	-1.9	3	0
2023 wk 4	@ NYG	3.6	63	11

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts