Saquon BarkleyFITTED MODEL

RB · PHI · NFL

16.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

16%

Boom (1.5x)

23%

Bust (0.6x)

14.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	@ BUF	6.8	68	0	0
2025 wk 16	@ WAS	21.2	132	0	0
2025 wk 15	vs LV	17.2	78	14	2
2025 wk 14	@ LAC	18.2	122	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs CHI	5.6	56	0	0
2025 wk 12	@ DAL	12.4	22	52	7
2025 wk 11	vs DET	10.0	83	7	1
2025 wk 10	@ GB	13.1	60	41	3
2025 wk 8	vs NYG	33.4	150	24	4
2025 wk 7	@ MIN	5.2	44	-2	1
2025 wk 6	@ NYG	8.7	58	9	2
2025 wk 5	vs DEN	17.8	30	58	3
2025 wk 4	@ TB	17.4	43	31	4
2025 wk 3	vs LAR	9.5	46	9	4
2025 wk 2	@ KC	17.4	88	6	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts