A.J. BrownFITTED MODEL

WR · PHI · NFL

13.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

29%

Bust (0.6x)

14.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	@ BUF	11.8	68	5
2025 wk 16	@ WAS	18.5	95	9
2025 wk 15	vs LV	12.1	41	2
2025 wk 14	@ LAC	16.0	100	6
2025 wk 13	vs CHI	35.2	132	10
2025 wk 12	@ DAL	25.0	110	8
2025 wk 11	vs DET	11.9	49	7
2025 wk 10	@ GB	3.3	13	2
2025 wk 7	@ MIN	28.1	121	4
2025 wk 6	@ NYG	14.0	80	6
2025 wk 5	vs DEN	9.3	43	5
2025 wk 4	@ TB	2.7	7	2
2025 wk 3	vs LAR	22.9	109	6
2025 wk 2	@ KC	7.7	27	5
2025 wk 1	vs DAL	1.8	8	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts