Jake TongesFITTED MODEL

TE · SF · NFL

8.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

7.8

Avg (last 12)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	vs CHI	19.0	60	7
2025 wk 16	@ IND	1.7	7	1
2025 wk 11	@ ARI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 8	@ HOU	7.2	2	1
2025 wk 6	@ TB	11.8	58	6
2025 wk 5	@ LAR	17.1	41	7
2025 wk 4	vs JAX	14.8	58	3
2025 wk 3	vs ARI	4.1	21	2
2025 wk 2	@ NO	7.1	31	4
2025 wk 1	@ SEA	10.5	15	3
2024 wk 18	@ ARI	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 2	@ MIN	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts