Theo JohnsonFITTED MODEL

TE · NYG · NFL

3.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

47%

Bust (0.6x)

8.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	vs MIN	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 15	vs WAS	10.2	72	3
2025 wk 13	@ NE	5.9	29	3
2025 wk 12	@ DET	10.7	77	3
2025 wk 11	vs GB	6.6	36	3
2025 wk 10	@ CHI	14.5	75	7
2025 wk 9	vs SF	11.7	27	3
2025 wk 8	@ PHI	5.0	20	3
2025 wk 7	@ DEN	15.6	66	3
2025 wk 6	vs PHI	4.7	27	2
2025 wk 5	@ NO	21.3	33	6
2025 wk 4	vs LAC	10.7	17	3
2025 wk 3	vs KC	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 2	@ DAL	7.4	34	4
2025 wk 1	@ WAS	1.5	5	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts