Nico CollinsFITTED MODEL

WR · HOU · NFL

14.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

18%

Boom (1.5x)

28%

Bust (0.6x)

15.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	@ LAC	8.7	0	57	3
2025 wk 16	vs LV	9.9	0	59	4
2025 wk 15	vs ARI	23.5	0	85	3
2025 wk 14	@ KC	16.1	0	121	4
2025 wk 13	@ IND	21.5	7	98	5
2025 wk 12	vs BUF	8.5	0	55	3
2025 wk 11	@ TEN	24.2	0	92	9
2025 wk 10	vs JAX	22.6	0	136	7
2025 wk 9	vs DEN	14.5	0	75	7
2025 wk 7	@ SEA	6.7	0	27	4
2025 wk 5	@ BAL	16.0	8	52	4
2025 wk 4	vs TEN	11.9	0	79	4
2025 wk 3	@ JAX	22.4	0	104	8
2025 wk 2	vs TB	14.2	0	52	3
2025 wk 1	@ LAR	5.5	0	25	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts