Ricky PearsallFITTED MODEL

WR · SF · NFL

10.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

9.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	vs CHI	13.5	0	85	5
2025 wk 15	vs TEN	15.6	0	96	6
2025 wk 13	@ CLE	3.4	0	14	2
2025 wk 12	vs CAR	2.8	2	6	2
2025 wk 11	@ ARI	1.0	0	0	1
2025 wk 4	vs JAX	8.6	0	46	4
2025 wk 3	vs ARI	19.7	0	117	8
2025 wk 2	@ NO	9.2	-4	56	4
2025 wk 1	@ SEA	14.8	0	108	4
2024 wk 18	@ ARI	18.9	0	69	6
2024 wk 17	vs DET	28.7	6	141	8
2024 wk 16	@ MIA	7.7	0	37	4
2024 wk 15	vs LAR	2.6	0	16	1
2024 wk 14	vs CHI	1.5	0	5	1
2024 wk 13	@ BUF	0.0	0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts