Luther BurdenFITTED MODEL

WR · CHI · NFL

12.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

8.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs DET	7.5	10	35	3
2025 wk 17	@ SF	27.8	0	138	8
2025 wk 15	vs CLE	14.4	0	84	6
2025 wk 14	@ GB	11.0	3	67	4
2025 wk 13	@ PHI	7.6	3	33	4
2025 wk 12	vs PIT	9.1	15	46	3
2025 wk 11	@ MIN	5.7	0	27	3
2025 wk 10	vs NYG	8.1	0	51	3
2025 wk 8	@ BAL	0.9	0	-1	1
2025 wk 7	vs NO	3.1	-1	22	1
2025 wk 6	@ WAS	9.1	0	51	4
2025 wk 4	@ LV	1.6	0	-4	2
2025 wk 3	vs DAL	19.8	7	101	3
2025 wk 2	@ DET	1.5	0	5	1
2025 wk 1	vs MIN	0.7	0	-3	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts