Pharaoh BrownFITTED MODEL

TE · · NFL

0.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

33%

Boom (1.5x)

65%

Bust (0.6x)

1.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ LAR	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 15	@ HOU	2.1	1	2
2025 wk 14	vs LAR	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 12	vs JAX	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 11	vs SF	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 17	@ CHI	-0.6	4	1
2024 wk 16	vs MIN	2.7	17	1
2024 wk 14	@ ARI	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 13	@ NYJ	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 12	vs ARI	3.9	19	2
2024 wk 11	@ SF	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 8	vs BUF	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 5	vs NYG	1.7	7	1
2024 wk 4	@ DET	1.3	3	1
2024 wk 3	vs MIA	1.9	9	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts