Ja'Marr ChaseFITTED MODEL

WR · CIN · NFL

19.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

13%

Boom (1.5x)

20%

Bust (0.6x)

20.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs CLE	23.6	0	96	8
2025 wk 17	vs ARI	25.0	0	60	7
2025 wk 16	@ MIA	19.9	0	109	9
2025 wk 15	vs BAL	23.2	0	132	10
2025 wk 14	@ BUF	10.2	8	44	5
2025 wk 13	@ BAL	18.0	0	110	7
2025 wk 11	@ PIT	6.0	0	30	3
2025 wk 9	vs CHI	17.1	0	111	6
2025 wk 8	vs NYJ	21.1	0	91	12
2025 wk 7	vs PIT	38.1	0	161	16
2025 wk 6	@ GB	25.1	-3	94	10
2025 wk 5	vs DET	29.0	0	110	6
2025 wk 4	@ DEN	7.3	0	23	5
2025 wk 3	@ MIN	8.9	9	50	5
2025 wk 2	vs JAX	36.5	0	165	14

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts