Luke FarrellFITTED MODEL

TE · SF · NFL

1.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

59%

Bust (0.6x)

2.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	@ IND	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 13	@ CLE	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 12	vs CAR	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 11	@ ARI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 10	vs LAR	9.5	15	2
2025 wk 9	@ NYG	1.9	9	1
2025 wk 8	@ HOU	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 7	vs ATL	2.1	11	1
2025 wk 6	@ TB	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 5	@ LAR	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 4	vs JAX	2.0	20	2
2025 wk 2	@ NO	9.5	15	2
2025 wk 1	@ SEA	1.4	4	1
2024 wk 18	@ IND	1.4	4	1
2024 wk 16	@ LV	2.8	8	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts