Allen LazardFITTED MODEL

WR · · NFL

3.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

52%

Bust (0.6x)

3.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 15	@ JAX	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 14	vs MIA	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs ATL	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 12	@ BAL	1.9	9	1
2025 wk 8	@ CIN	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 7	vs CAR	3.6	16	2
2025 wk 5	vs DAL	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 4	@ MIA	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 3	@ TB	9.3	13	2
2024 wk 18	vs MIA	16.1	71	3
2024 wk 17	@ BUF	1.9	9	1
2024 wk 16	vs LAR	4.0	20	2
2024 wk 15	@ JAX	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 14	@ MIA	2.8	18	1
2024 wk 7	@ PIT	9.8	58	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts