John MetchieFITTED MODEL

WR · CAR · NFL

8.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

5.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ BUF	5.0	0	20	3
2025 wk 17	vs NE	7.1	0	41	3
2025 wk 16	@ NO	1.4	0	4	1
2025 wk 15	@ JAX	6.9	4	25	4
2025 wk 14	vs MIA	7.4	0	34	4
2025 wk 13	vs ATL	5.7	-2	19	4
2025 wk 12	@ BAL	18.5	0	65	6
2025 wk 11	@ NE	13.5	0	45	3
2025 wk 10	vs CLE	0.6	-7	3	1
2025 wk 4	@ TB	3.0	0	10	2
2025 wk 3	vs LAR	1.8	0	8	1
2025 wk 2	@ KC	1.0	0	0	1
2025 wk 1	vs DAL	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 18	@ TEN	4.4	0	24	2
2024 wk 17	vs BAL	9.8	0	48	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts