Geno SmithFITTED MODEL

QB · NYJ · NFL

15.2

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

17%

Boom (1.5x)

20%

Bust (0.6x)

11.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 17	vs NYG	7.1	176	1
2025 wk 16	@ HOU	14.0	201	0
2025 wk 14	vs DEN	9.0	116	4
2025 wk 13	@ LAC	12.0	165	-6
2025 wk 12	vs CLE	14.2	285	8
2025 wk 11	vs DAL	12.9	238	14
2025 wk 10	@ DEN	4.4	143	7
2025 wk 9	vs JAX	26.3	284	9
2025 wk 7	@ KC	2.8	67	1
2025 wk 6	vs TEN	8.7	174	-3
2025 wk 5	@ IND	5.9	228	8
2025 wk 4	vs CHI	9.8	117	31
2025 wk 3	@ WAS	26.1	289	5
2025 wk 2	vs LAC	3.2	180	20
2025 wk 1	@ NE	17.5	362	10

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts