Noah BrownFITTED MODEL

WR · · NFL

5.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

45%

Bust (0.6x)

6.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 15	@ NYG	3.8	28	1
2025 wk 14	@ MIN	2.9	19	1
2025 wk 2	@ GB	1.9	9	1
2025 wk 1	vs NYG	4.7	27	2
2024 wk 13	vs TEN	5.7	27	3
2024 wk 12	vs DAL	13.1	71	6
2024 wk 11	@ PHI	1.4	4	1
2024 wk 10	vs PIT	6.3	33	3
2024 wk 9	@ NYG	11.0	60	5
2024 wk 8	vs CHI	16.3	73	3
2024 wk 7	vs CAR	2.6	16	1
2024 wk 6	@ BAL	9.8	58	4
2024 wk 4	@ ARI	5.6	26	3
2024 wk 3	@ CIN	5.9	29	3
2024 wk 2	vs NYG	8.6	56	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts