Matthew GoldenFITTED MODEL

WR · GB · NFL

11.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

5.0

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ MIN	1.8	0	8	1
2025 wk 17	vs BAL	2.2	0	12	1
2025 wk 16	@ CHI	0.4	4	0	0
2025 wk 15	@ DEN	8.5	0	55	3
2025 wk 14	vs CHI	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 11	@ NYG	3.4	0	24	1
2025 wk 9	vs CAR	2.9	0	9	2
2025 wk 8	@ PIT	3.4	0	4	3
2025 wk 7	@ ARI	7.7	0	37	4
2025 wk 6	vs CIN	13.2	16	86	3
2025 wk 4	@ DAL	11.3	5	58	5
2025 wk 3	@ CLE	10.1	9	52	4
2025 wk 2	vs WAS	1.5	15	0	0
2025 wk 1	vs DET	3.6	0	16	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts