John BatesFITTED MODEL

TE · WAS · NFL

2.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

50%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ PHI	9.3	13	2
2025 wk 16	vs PHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 15	@ NYG	2.9	19	1
2025 wk 14	@ MIN	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs DEN	2.9	9	2
2025 wk 10	vs DET	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 9	vs SEA	4.0	20	2
2025 wk 8	@ KC	3.2	22	1
2025 wk 7	@ DAL	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 5	@ LAC	1.9	9	1
2024 wk 18	@ DAL	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 17	vs ATL	2.4	14	1
2024 wk 16	vs PHI	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 15	@ NO	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 12	vs DAL	0.3	13	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts