Tez JohnsonFITTED MODEL

WR · TB · NFL

1.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

62%

Bust (0.6x)

6.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs CAR	3.2	5	17	1
2025 wk 17	@ MIA	3.9	0	19	2
2025 wk 16	@ CAR	0.9	0	-1	1
2025 wk 15	vs ATL	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs ARI	1.5	0	5	1
2025 wk 12	@ LAR	12.3	12	21	3
2025 wk 11	@ BUF	1.6	0	6	1
2025 wk 10	vs NE	20.2	0	42	4
2025 wk 8	@ NO	9.3	0	43	5
2025 wk 7	@ DET	15.8	0	58	4
2025 wk 6	vs SF	11.5	0	45	1
2025 wk 5	@ SEA	9.9	0	59	4
2025 wk 4	vs PHI	2.3	5	8	1
2025 wk 3	vs NYJ	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 1	@ ATL	0.0	0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts