Jackson HawesFITTED MODEL

TE · BUF · NFL

1.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

54%

Bust (0.6x)

4.1

Avg (last 13)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs NYJ	1.0	0	1
2025 wk 16	@ CLE	4.6	26	2
2025 wk 15	@ NE	1.9	9	1
2025 wk 14	vs CIN	7.3	3	1
2025 wk 13	@ PIT	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 12	@ HOU	4.6	26	2
2025 wk 10	@ MIA	9.6	26	1
2025 wk 9	vs KC	2.8	18	1
2025 wk 8	@ CAR	3.5	15	2
2025 wk 4	vs NO	2.5	15	1
2025 wk 3	vs MIA	7.5	5	1
2025 wk 2	@ NYJ	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 1	vs BAL	3.9	29	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts