Ace BaileyFITTED MODEL

G · UTAH · NBA

25.1

Projection

11.3

Floor (p10)

39.7

Ceiling (p90)

13%

Boom (1.5x)

19%

Bust (0.6x)

20.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-27	vs DET	6.5	0	2	0	0
2025-12-24	vs MEM	24.5	17	4	0	3
2025-12-23	@ DEN	14.2	10	3	0	1
2025-12-21	vs ORL	24.5	14	4	3	2
2025-12-19	vs LAL	27.0	19	4	0	3
2025-12-16	vs DAL	14.0	7	2	3	1
2025-12-13	@ MEM	16.5	8	4	0	0
2025-12-08	vs OKC	24.2	13	1	4	3
2025-12-06	@ NY	24.2	13	5	1	2
2025-12-05	@ BKN	8.0	5	2	0	1
2025-12-02	vs HOU	32.2	13	3	3	3
2025-11-30	vs HOU	23.5	19	2	1	3
2025-11-29	vs SAC	15.5	5	4	2	1
2025-11-25	@ GS	32.2	21	3	2	3
2025-11-24	vs LAL	23.8	10	5	3	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts