Ryan NembhardFITTED MODEL

G · DAL · NBA

18.1

Projection

6.3

Floor (p10)

31.2

Ceiling (p90)

17%

Boom (1.5x)

24%

Bust (0.6x)

22.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	@ POR	11.0	0	2	6	0
2025-12-27	@ SAC	15.5	9	2	3	1
2025-12-25	@ GS	7.8	4	1	2	0
2025-12-24	vs DEN	25.2	11	3	7	1
2025-12-23	@ NO	20.5	4	4	8	0
2025-12-21	@ PHI	16.5	7	0	5	1
2025-12-19	vs DET	18.0	6	2	7	0
2025-12-16	@ UTAH	36.8	14	3	11	2
2025-12-13	vs BKN	8.5	0	2	5	0
2025-12-07	vs HOU	24.2	11	1	7	1
2025-12-06	@ OKC	20.2	10	3	4	2
2025-12-04	vs MIA	45.2	15	5	13	3
2025-12-02	@ DEN	50.2	28	3	10	4
2025-11-30	@ LAC	13.8	8	1	3	2
2025-11-29	@ LAL	28.0	17	2	4	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts