Branden CarlsonFITTED MODEL

C · OKC · NBA

12.9

Projection

3.2

Floor (p10)

26.1

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

11.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	vs ATL	6.0	6	0	0	0
2025-12-28	vs PHI	8.5	4	2	0	0
2025-12-25	vs SA	2.0	2	0	0	0
2025-12-24	@ SA	1.5	0	0	1	0
2025-12-23	vs MEM	18.2	11	3	2	3
2025-12-19	vs LAC	10.5	4	4	0	0
2025-12-11	vs PHX	16.0	11	2	0	1
2025-12-08	@ UTAH	23.5	13	6	0	3
2025-12-06	vs DAL	21.5	9	6	3	1
2025-12-03	@ GS	3.5	3	0	0	1
2025-11-24	vs POR	15.2	8	1	2	2
2025-11-22	@ UTAH	10.5	7	0	1	0
2025-11-20	vs SAC	3.2	2	1	0	0
2025-11-18	@ NO	19.5	7	4	2	1
2025-11-16	@ CHA	13.5	7	2	0	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts