Pete NanceFITTED MODEL

F · MIL · NBA

11.8

Projection

2.2

Floor (p10)

23.5

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

7.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-27	@ MEM	-0.5	0	0	0	0
2025-12-24	@ IND	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-12-14	@ BKN	3.2	0	3	0	0
2025-12-12	vs BOS	3.2	2	1	0	0
2025-12-07	@ DET	4.8	3	1	0	1
2025-12-06	vs PHI	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-11-25	vs POR	1.5	0	0	1	0
2025-11-23	vs DET	4.8	3	1	0	1
2025-11-13	@ CHA	12.2	10	1	0	2
2025-10-15	vs OKC	9.0	3	2	1	1
2025-10-12	@ CHI	7.8	2	3	0	0
2025-10-10	vs DET	5.5	2	0	1	0
2025-10-06	@ MIA	27.8	15	3	2	4
2026-04-08	@ DET	2.5	0	2	0	0
2026-04-07	@ BKN	25.5	8	2	6	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts