Dennis Smith Jr.FITTED MODEL

G · DAL · NBA

5.9

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

18.1

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

47%

Bust (0.6x)

18.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-10-14	@ UTAH	5.5	0	2	2	0
2025-10-12	vs CHA	6.2	0	1	2	0
2023-12-30	@ WSH	16.0	5	2	3	0
2023-12-28	vs MIL	35.8	14	7	8	0
2023-12-27	@ DET	13.5	6	2	3	0
2023-12-24	vs DET	10.5	6	0	3	1
2023-12-23	vs DEN	22.0	7	4	5	1
2023-12-07	@ ATL	26.8	13	3	4	0
2023-12-03	vs ORL	39.8	10	11	6	0
2023-11-17	@ MIA	15.5	5	2	5	1
2023-11-15	vs ORL	20.8	6	3	5	0
2023-11-12	vs WSH	21.0	8	4	6	2
2023-11-11	@ BOS	29.5	14	4	7	0
2023-11-09	vs LAC	16.2	4	1	5	0
2023-11-07	vs MIL	3.5	2	0	1	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts