Josh RichardsonFITTED MODEL

G · MIA · NBA

10.2

Projection

0.4

Floor (p10)

22.5

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

14.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2024-11-19	vs PHI	5.0	4	0	1	0
2024-11-17	@ IND	16.5	5	2	3	1
2024-11-16	@ IND	12.8	6	1	2	2
2024-11-13	@ DET	7.0	5	0	1	1
2024-11-11	@ MIN	6.5	2	4	0	0
2024-11-09	@ DEN	25.0	10	2	3	2
2024-11-05	vs SAC	6.5	0	2	1	0
2024-11-03	@ WSH	2.8	0	1	1	0
2023-12-23	vs ATL	9.8	3	3	1	0
2023-12-21	@ ORL	26.5	12	2	4	4
2023-12-19	vs MIN	23.0	13	4	3	2
2023-12-17	vs CHI	14.0	8	2	2	2
2023-12-12	@ CHA	15.0	2	4	4	0
2023-12-09	vs CLE	25.2	17	1	2	5
2023-12-07	@ TOR	15.0	7	4	2	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts