Ausar ThompsonFITTED MODEL

G · DET · NBA

27.2

Projection

13.3

Floor (p10)

41.7

Ceiling (p90)

11%

Boom (1.5x)

17%

Bust (0.6x)

24.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST
2025-12-31	@ LAL	18.0	7	2	3
2025-12-29	@ LAC	20.0	6	6	1
2025-12-27	@ UTAH	16.0	8	6	0
2025-12-24	@ SAC	29.5	19	6	2
2025-12-23	@ POR	46.0	18	12	3
2025-12-21	vs CHA	34.0	14	4	2
2025-12-19	@ DAL	15.5	8	2	2
2025-12-16	@ BOS	13.5	7	6	0
2025-12-13	vs ATL	27.5	12	6	1
2025-12-07	vs MIL	34.0	13	6	8
2025-12-06	vs POR	24.5	15	4	2
2025-12-04	@ MIL	28.0	10	6	5
2025-12-02	vs ATL	21.8	8	7	1
2025-11-30	@ MIA	25.0	10	8	3
2025-11-29	vs ORL	20.2	8	7	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts