Nassir LittleFITTED MODEL

F · MIA · NBA

16.0

Projection

4.1

Floor (p10)

28.7

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

27%

Bust (0.6x)

11.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2024-10-19	@ MEM	25.0	15	4	3	4
2024-10-13	vs NO	7.0	1	2	0	0
2023-12-28	@ HOU	14.0	7	6	0	0
2023-12-26	vs DAL	0.0	0	0	0	0
2023-12-23	@ SAC	7.5	6	0	0	0
2023-12-20	@ POR	7.0	4	2	0	1
2023-12-18	vs WSH	15.2	5	7	1	1
2023-12-16	vs NY	12.0	5	4	1	1
2023-12-14	vs BKN	23.2	10	7	3	2
2023-12-09	vs SAC	1.2	0	1	0	0
2023-12-06	@ LAL	10.5	5	2	2	1
2023-12-03	vs MEM	9.0	4	2	2	0
2023-12-02	vs DEN	6.5	2	2	0	0
2023-11-26	@ NY	18.5	11	2	0	3
2023-11-24	@ MEM	8.5	2	4	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts