Trevor KeelsFITTED MODEL

G · MIA · NBA

4.3

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

16.5

Ceiling (p90)

35%

Boom (1.5x)

50%

Bust (0.6x)

4.9

Avg (last 12)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-10-06	vs MIL	8.5	0	2	2	0
2025-10-05	vs ORL	16.8	12	1	2	2
2026-04-12	vs ATL	4.0	2	0	0	0
2026-04-10	@ WSH	0.0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-09	@ TOR	7.0	6	0	0	2
2026-04-07	@ TOR	0.0	0	0	0	0
2026-03-10	vs WSH	0.0	0	0	0	0
2026-03-08	vs DET	1.2	0	1	0	0
2026-02-22	vs MEM	1.2	0	1	0	0
2023-10-20	@ CHI	4.8	2	1	1	0
2023-10-18	vs MRC	15.8	5	1	4	1
2023-10-07	@ DAL	-0.5	0	0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts