Alex CarusoFITTED MODEL

G · OKC · NBA

16.9

Projection

5.2

Floor (p10)

30.0

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

26%

Bust (0.6x)

17.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	vs ATL	33.5	16	8	2	2
2025-12-28	vs PHI	8.8	7	1	0	1
2025-12-25	vs SA	15.8	12	1	0	2
2025-12-24	@ SA	7.5	2	4	1	0
2025-12-20	@ MIN	28.0	7	12	1	1
2025-12-19	vs LAC	19.0	4	2	3	0
2025-12-14	vs SA	32.0	11	8	3	1
2025-12-11	vs PHX	11.2	3	1	1	1
2025-11-29	vs PHX	21.2	4	7	3	0
2025-11-27	vs MIN	7.5	5	2	0	1
2025-11-24	vs POR	14.5	5	2	3	1
2025-11-22	@ UTAH	18.0	11	0	3	2
2025-11-20	vs SAC	18.5	2	4	5	0
2025-11-16	@ CHA	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-11-13	vs LAL	24.0	10	4	3	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts