Paul ReedFITTED MODEL

F · DET · NBA

18.2

Projection

6.0

Floor (p10)

31.1

Ceiling (p90)

18%

Boom (1.5x)

24%

Bust (0.6x)

11.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-31	@ LAL	7.0	3	2	0	0
2025-12-29	@ LAC	7.5	3	2	0	0
2025-12-27	@ UTAH	8.0	0	2	1	0
2025-12-23	@ POR	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-12-21	vs CHA	1.5	0	0	0	0
2025-12-19	@ DAL	7.2	4	1	0	0
2025-12-13	vs ATL	7.2	4	3	0	0
2025-12-07	vs MIL	22.5	6	10	3	0
2025-12-04	@ MIL	17.0	9	4	1	1
2025-11-30	@ MIA	31.5	13	10	2	1
2025-11-29	vs ORL	4.2	1	1	0	0
2025-11-23	@ MIL	3.2	2	1	0	0
2025-11-19	@ ATL	8.5	4	2	0	0
2025-11-18	vs IND	17.5	7	2	3	0
2025-11-15	vs PHI	33.0	10	8	3	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts