Luka GarzaFITTED MODEL

C · BOS · NBA

15.8

Projection

3.3

Floor (p10)

29.7

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

17.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-31	@ UTAH	27.5	15	6	0	2
2025-12-28	@ POR	8.2	5	3	0	1
2025-12-27	@ IND	23.5	15	4	2	1
2025-12-23	vs IND	23.8	6	9	3	0
2025-12-21	@ TOR	30.5	12	10	2	0
2025-12-06	vs LAL	3.5	0	0	1	0
2025-12-05	@ WSH	12.5	5	2	1	0
2025-11-29	@ MIN	5.0	3	0	1	1
2025-11-26	vs DET	1.2	0	1	0	0
2025-11-22	vs BKN	14.0	7	4	1	2
2025-11-19	@ BKN	12.8	5	5	0	0
2025-11-16	vs LAC	19.0	13	4	0	2
2025-11-13	vs MEM	25.2	14	7	1	2
2025-11-12	@ PHI	19.0	9	8	0	0
2025-11-09	@ ORL	32.0	16	8	3	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts