James KarinchakFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

3.0

Projection

-1.4

Floor (p10)

6.7

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

3.0

Avg (last 9)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs STL	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-30	vs STL	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	@ SD	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-22	@ SD	5.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-20	vs MIL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	vs SF	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-16	vs SF	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-14	@ NYM	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-10	@ CWS	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts