Robby AhlstromFITTED MODEL

P · TEX · MLB

1.6

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

5.6

Ceiling (p90)

43%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

1.6

Avg (last 13)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs DET	3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-29	@ CLE	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-27	@ TOR	-5.0	-	-	-	0
2026-06-26	@ TOR	-4.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-24	@ MIA	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-22	@ MIA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs SD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-18	vs MIN	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	@ BOS	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-11	@ KC	4.4	-	-	-	1
2026-06-09	@ KC	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-06	vs CLE	3.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-03	@ STL	7.0	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts