Esmerlyn ValdezFITTED MODEL

OF · PIT · MLB

9.2

Projection

1.5

Floor (p10)

20.5

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

41%

Bust (0.6x)

9.1

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	@ PHI	19.0	2	4	3	-
2026-07-01	@ PHI	5.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-30	@ PHI	8.0	2	2	0	-
2026-06-29	@ PHI	27.0	2	6	2	-
2026-06-28	vs CIN	28.0	3	7	2	-
2026-06-27	vs CIN	14.0	1	4	1	-
2026-06-26	vs CIN	17.0	2	5	1	-
2026-06-25	vs SEA	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-24	vs SEA	12.0	2	3	1	-
2026-06-19	@ COL	7.0	1	2	0	-
2026-06-17	@ ATH	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-15	@ ATH	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-12	vs MIA	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-11	vs LAD	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-05-27	vs CHC	0.0	0	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts