Nick DavilaFITTED MODEL

P · SEA · MLB

2.2

Projection

-2.4

Floor (p10)

6.2

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

2.2

Avg (last 13)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-24	@ PIT	-8.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-20	vs BOS	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	vs BAL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-14	@ WSH	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-11	@ BAL	5.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-09	@ BAL	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-23	@ KC	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-16	vs SD	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-14	@ HOU	2.4	-	-	-	0
2026-05-13	@ HOU	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-11	@ HOU	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-09	@ CWS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-03	vs KC	3.0	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts