JR RitchieFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

10.6

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

22.6

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

10.6

Avg (last 8)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-23	@ SD	11.8	-	-	-	7
2026-06-17	vs SF	4.5	-	-	-	4
2026-06-12	@ NYM	18.9	0	0	0	5
2026-05-18	@ MIA	2.2	-	-	-	4
2026-05-13	vs CHC	12.8	-	-	-	4
2026-05-04	@ SEA	2.6	-	-	-	2
2026-04-29	vs DET	10.6	-	-	-	4
2026-04-23	@ WSH	21.6	-	-	-	7

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts