Gavin CollyerFITTED MODEL

P · TEX · MLB

2.1

Projection

-2.5

Floor (p10)

6.1

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

2.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs DET	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-31	vs KC	-4.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-29	vs KC	2.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-27	vs HOU	6.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-24	@ LAA	2.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-18	@ COL	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-17	@ HOU	8.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-12	vs AZ	-8.4	-	-	-	0
2026-05-09	vs CHC	5.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-07	@ NYY	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-05-03	@ DET	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-02	@ DET	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-27	vs NYY	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-26	vs ATH	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-23	vs PIT	-0.5	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts