Drew SommersFITTED MODEL

P · DET · MLB

1.7

Projection

-2.9

Floor (p10)

5.7

Ceiling (p90)

43%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

1.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	@ TEX	-9.0	-	-	-	0
2026-07-01	@ NYY	3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-29	@ NYY	-1.6	-	-	-	2
2026-06-27	vs HOU	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-22	vs NYY	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-21	vs CWS	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-17	@ HOU	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-16	@ HOU	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-12	@ CLE	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-10	vs MIN	0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-07	vs SEA	2.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-06	vs SEA	9.0	-	-	-	3
2026-06-01	@ TB	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-28	vs LAA	2.8	-	-	-	1
2025-09-01	vs NYM	-3.5	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts