PJ PoulinFITTED MODEL

P · WSH · MLB

2.2

Projection

-2.5

Floor (p10)

6.2

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

2.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	@ BAL	3.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-27	@ BAL	0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	vs PHI	5.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	vs PHI	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-19	@ TB	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	vs KC	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-14	vs SEA	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	vs SEA	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-05-27	@ CLE	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-25	@ CLE	0.7	-	-	-	0
2026-05-18	vs NYM	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-05-16	vs BAL	0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-05-13	@ CIN	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-10	@ MIA	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-05-08	@ MIA	0.1	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts