Johan OviedoFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

10.2

Projection

-2.6

Floor (p10)

22.1

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

11.3

Avg (last 10)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-03-30	@ HOU	1.4	-	-	-	3
2025-09-28	@ ATL	9.7	-	-	-	3
2025-09-23	@ CIN	17.5	-	-	-	7
2025-09-17	vs CHC	3.9	-	-	-	3
2025-09-11	@ BAL	13.9	-	-	-	5
2025-09-05	vs MIL	16.2	-	-	-	4
2025-08-30	@ BOS	15.7	-	-	-	6
2025-08-25	@ STL	14.6	-	-	-	5
2025-08-20	vs TOR	18.9	-	-	-	6
2025-08-04	vs SF	1.2	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts