Dauri MoretaFITTED MODEL

P · PIT · MLB

2.8

Projection

-1.7

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

33%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

2.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-24	@ CIN	2.3	-	-	-	1
2025-09-23	@ CIN	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-09-21	vs ATH	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-09-17	vs CHC	0.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-15	vs CHC	3.0	-	-	-	0
2025-09-12	@ WSH	4.4	-	-	-	1
2025-09-09	@ BAL	-1.8	-	-	-	0
2025-09-07	vs MIL	7.9	-	-	-	2
2025-09-04	vs LAD	-5.7	-	-	-	1
2025-09-02	vs LAD	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-08-31	@ BOS	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-08-29	@ BOS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-28	@ STL	2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-10	vs CIN	-0.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-08	vs CIN	8.4	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts