Ben BowdenFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

1.8

Projection

-2.9

Floor (p10)

5.8

Ceiling (p90)

42%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

1.8

Avg (last 11)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-08-21	@ MIN	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-08-17	vs LAA	-4.9	-	-	-	0
2025-08-15	vs LAA	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-08-13	vs TB	5.0	-	-	-	2
2025-08-10	@ BAL	-1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-08-08	@ BAL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-05	@ WSH	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-08-03	vs AZ	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-02	vs AZ	2.4	-	-	-	0
2025-07-27	@ HOU	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-07-25	@ HOU	-0.9	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts