Troy MeltonFITTED MODEL

P · DET · MLB

17.3

Projection

4.5

Floor (p10)

29.2

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

23%

Bust (0.6x)

10.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	@ NYY	26.4	-	-	-	7
2026-06-25	vs HOU	22.3	-	-	-	6
2026-06-20	vs CWS	18.5	-	-	-	5
2026-06-09	vs MIN	7.8	-	-	-	5
2026-06-03	@ TB	20.4	-	-	-	5
2026-05-29	@ CWS	11.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-24	@ BAL	13.8	-	-	-	3
2025-09-25	@ CLE	5.8	-	-	-	1
2025-09-20	vs ATL	3.0	-	-	-	0
2025-09-18	vs CLE	-0.1	-	-	-	1
2025-09-13	@ MIA	5.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-10	@ NYY	8.7	-	-	-	4
2025-09-07	vs CWS	0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-09-01	vs NYM	10.2	-	-	-	3
2025-08-29	@ KC	4.0	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts