Konnor PilkingtonFITTED MODEL

P · WSH · MLB

2.5

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

37%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

2.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-27	vs CWS	2.3	-	-	-	1
2025-09-23	@ ATL	-0.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-22	@ ATL	4.9	-	-	-	2
2025-09-20	@ NYM	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-19	@ NYM	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-09-16	vs ATL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-09-15	vs ATL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-09-14	vs PIT	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-09-11	@ MIA	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2025-09-10	@ MIA	-0.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-05	@ CHC	0.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-02	vs MIA	0.3	-	-	-	0
2025-09-01	vs MIA	7.7	-	-	-	3
2025-08-30	vs TB	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-27	@ NYY	4.2	0	0	0	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts