Mason ThompsonFITTED MODEL

P · WSH · MLB

0.1

Projection

-4.5

Floor (p10)

4.1

Ceiling (p90)

53%

Boom (1.5x)

46%

Bust (0.6x)

0.1

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-19	@ NYM	-2.8	-	-	-	2
2025-09-16	vs ATL	-7.7	-	-	-	1
2025-09-14	vs PIT	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-11	@ MIA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-10	@ MIA	0.1	-	-	-	0
2025-09-07	@ CHC	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-09-03	vs MIA	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-08-30	vs TB	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-07-21	vs CIN	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-18	vs SD	0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-07-13	@ MIL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-10	@ STL	-12.2	-	-	-	0
2025-07-08	@ STL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-06	vs BOS	2.3	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts