Shinnosuke OgasawaraFITTED MODEL

P · WSH · MLB

2.1

Projection

-2.5

Floor (p10)

6.1

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

1.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-28	vs CWS	-3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-26	vs CWS	6.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-22	@ ATL	6.7	-	-	-	1
2025-09-17	vs ATL	-4.8	-	-	-	1
2025-09-16	vs ATL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-09-15	vs ATL	1.5	-	-	-	2
2025-09-13	vs PIT	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-09-08	@ MIA	-7.1	-	-	-	1
2025-09-05	@ CHC	-0.7	-	-	-	0
2025-09-03	vs MIA	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-08-31	vs TB	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-08-27	@ NYY	0.1	0	0	0	3
2025-08-24	@ PHI	8.8	-	-	-	2
2025-08-22	@ PHI	2.9	-	-	-	2
2025-08-20	vs NYM	4.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts