Juan BurgosFITTED MODEL

P · AZ · MLB

1.5

Projection

-3.2

Floor (p10)

5.5

Ceiling (p90)

44%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

1.7

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-26	@ TB	-0.2	-	-	-	0
2025-09-01	vs TEX	0.3	-	-	-	1
2025-08-27	@ MIL	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2025-08-24	vs CIN	-10.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-22	vs CIN	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-19	vs CLE	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-08-15	@ COL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-08-13	@ TEX	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-11	@ TEX	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-09	vs COL	4.3	-	-	-	2
2025-07-20	vs HOU	2.1	-	-	-	2
2025-07-11	@ DET	5.0	-	-	-	2
2025-07-08	@ NYY	7.2	-	-	-	2
2025-07-01	vs KC	4.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts